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Texans vs. Bears Point Spread

Texans: -1.5

The Houston Texans are 4-8 and despite being the road team, I guess that's not really a big factor this year, they're 1.5 point favorites in Chicago against the Bears. I simply cannot come up with any positives for the Bears right now and that's with them coming off their best offensive game of the year. I mean, the running game was great all first half last week, Mitch was making the plays he needed to make, and at the end there were the costly mistakes. The fumble, Allen Robinson not getting the first down and then failing to convert on 4th and 1. The play calling in the second half was brutal oh and the defense is all of a sudden really bad now, too. If anything, if I was going with a pick here it's not so much me choosing the Texans as much as it's me going against the Bears. And I don't even want to hear about Bear weather. Most overrated thing in Chicago sports. The Texans stink too, but how can you have any confidence with the Bears, especially with the ridiculous decline from the defense in recent weeks. Both running games are bad (Bears 31st, Texans 32nd) so you have to figure it's going to come down between Watson vs. Trubisky. Sorry. But not really. Pick: Texans -1.5

Texans vs. Bears Point Total

Over/Under: 45.5

I know I just said Bear weather is overrated, but that doesn't take away from the fact that it affects games. It's going to be cold as shit Sunday, especially right by the lake. I expect a lot of David Montgomery early and we'll see if the Bears actually stick with him in the second half. But that clock is going to be rolling and I don't see how this game gets close to 50. I'm thinking something like 24-17. Pick: UNDER 45.5 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mV9LzWWcsyc

Underdog Parlay

Last week I got this with the New England Patriots and Washington Football as my underdog parlay, but this week I'm getting a bit crazier with it, adding a third underdog. The Arizona Cardinals are not good. The New York Giants have been playing like a good team for a month. Home dogs??? Give me the Giants +3. This one might kill me because as much as we love and miss Vic Fangio, being a defensive head coach apparently means you have to play conservative all the time. Anyway, I don't need them to win even though I think they have a good chance to because the Carolina Panthers shouldn't scare anyone. Give me the Broncos +3.5 against the Panthers. Both of these teams are playing for their postseason lives and again I love the home dog here. Las Vegas Raiders +3 against the Indianapolis Colts. Underdog parlay: Giants +3, Broncos +3.5, Raiders +3

Favorite of the week

I'm between two games here and you know what, parlay them. Aaron Rodgers is on pace to match the best season of his career. I'm not buying the Lions after last week. Packers -8.5. Jalen Hurts is getting his first NFL start and it's coming against a New Orleans Saints defense that is on a roll. The Saints have won nine games in a row and in their last five the defense is giving up an average of less than 9 points per game, covering those point spreads. So, give me the Saints to cover their sixth in a row, -7.5 against the Eagles. Pick: Parlay Packers -8.5, Saints -7.5 [caption id="attachment_150281" align="aligncenter" width="1920"] William Hill Sportsbook Illinois[/caption]