Let's be honest here. The Chicago Bears have a broken offense that is stuck in neutral in the mud and seemingly sinking down. Even with a Bye Week, which the Bears are 0-6 over the past six seasons off of, you shouldn't expect much improvement out of Matt Nagy's offense. It is for this reason that the Bears are massive underdogs this week to the hated Green Bay Packers on the road in Northern Wisconsin. They come in as +8.5 point dogs, their largest underdog mark of the season, against Aaron Rodgers and the Pack. So, this should be a no-brainer right? Take the Packers and lay the points. Well, you would be in the majority, but not by much. Luckily for you, DraftKings is giving you even more reason to take a side in this exciting divisional game, offering you a huge opportunity to earn cash fast and make it rain.
Spread: CHI (+8.5), GB (-8.5)
Total: 44.5
As we mentioned before, there is not much of a reason to think the Bears will win this football game. Mitch Trubisky is not a good quarterback, and it's very unlikely that it will matter much from his return to the lineup. That being said, we must evaluate whether or not we think this spread is correct. One thing we know for certain is that the Bears' defense is still really good. They have been literally the only reason the Bears have been competitive in most of their games this season, and a big reason they have as many wins as they do. That is the reason that if Akiem Hicks plays tonight, I will be putting a sprinkle on the Bears to cover this large number.
Hicks helps tremendously in slowing the run game and is key to stopping Aaron Jones and the Packers' rushing attack. If Green Bay is able to run over the Bears, it will take the pressure off of Rodgers, and everyone knows what happens when you do that. He will carve you up like a pumpkin on Halloween. If Hicks plays, I feel like the Bears will be able to keep it within the eight and a half by limiting the run and forcing Rodgers to throw on this very good secondary. Look for them to pick on Jaylon Johnson, which is what happens to rookie corners.
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Chicago Bears (5-5) at Green Bay Packers (7-3)
Spread: CHI (+8.5), GB (-8.5)
Total: 44.5
As we mentioned before, there is not much of a reason to think the Bears will win this football game. Mitch Trubisky is not a good quarterback, and it's very unlikely that it will matter much from his return to the lineup. That being said, we must evaluate whether or not we think this spread is correct. One thing we know for certain is that the Bears' defense is still really good. They have been literally the only reason the Bears have been competitive in most of their games this season, and a big reason they have as many wins as they do. That is the reason that if Akiem Hicks plays tonight, I will be putting a sprinkle on the Bears to cover this large number.
Where is the Money Going?
Surprisingly, this is the closest game on the entire Week 12 slate in terms of where the money is going. While the Packers are still getting the majority of the bets at 55%, the Bears are holding their own with 45% of the money coming in on them. As soon as Hicks is announced either in or out, look for this number to change dramatically. I could easily see the Bears getting close to 50-50 if Hicks is a-go because they love to play these messy, close games and I think most of the public can see that. It is pretty shocking that 73% of the bets are on the over, which is very uncommon in Bears games. The offense can't score and the defense usually plays well enough to keep it close in a low-scoring affair. In terms of player props, we know that Mitch Trubisky is going to be the Bears starter. Where does Mitch love to stare down when he's dropping back to pass? Allen Robinson. Look for his over receiving yards prop to cash. For the Packers, the Bears secondary is very good and DeVante Adams is the biggest chalk play every week. The part of the field the Bears have struggled most to cover is over the middle. Big Bob Tonyan has emerged as a reliable target for Rodgers, and he can attack the middle of this Bears defense down the field. I like him over receiving yards as well.
