Browns - Giants Best Bets
The Lines
Spread: CLE -6.5, NYG +6.5 I think this bet on the side all depends on the number we can get here. If Daniel Jones is in fact ruled out, which we fully expect him to be, Colt McCoy will get the start. This may move the line further in our favor. I think the market will overvalue the Browns when Jones is officially announced out, which could provide us with a juicy +7 or even +7.5. To me, McCoy gives the Giants a better chance to win right now because of Jones' injury, which makes him a gargoyle in the pocket just waiting to be sacked. McCoy can run and be mobile, which makes the Giants drastically better on offense. They have been a "sticky" team all year long, playing a ton of close games even when they were huge underdogs. Meanwhile, the Browns have failed to cover the spread in their last six games as road favorites. The Giants at home should be able to keep the game close enough to where it will be within a TD. If this number gets to +7 and McCoy is officially named the started, New York will be a bet for me. Official Play: McCoy starts and anything +7 and up Total: 44 This is a very low total in the 2020 NFL, which doesn't make a lot of sense to me. Yes, the Giants' defense has been playing great in the second half of the season. They have a ton of injuries coming into this game and will be without their best CB in James Bradberry. They gave up 26 points to a struggling Cardinals team last week, and now face a team that has 40+ in their last two. They have really struggled to contain the running attack as of late too, which means the Browns 3rd ranked rushing attack can tee off on them. On the other side, the Browns have been just as terrible against the pass. They have been blitzkrieged through the air this year, getting burned badly over the top. They have especially struggled over the middle of the field, where opposing TEs have ripped them for large amounts of yardage. The Ravens put up 47 points last week against this squad. Over 44 is not much to ask with two struggling defenses and an upgrade at QB for New York. Official Play: OVER 44
Player Props
Nick Chubb OVER Rushing Yds - I think Chubb is going to run rampant on this struggling Giants run defense. Even a hobbled Kyler Murray was able to run on this defense last week. Chubb will kill them.
Evan Engram OVER Receiving Yds - The Browns have been destroyed by opposing TEs all season long because the organization refuses to acknowledge inside linebackers. Love Engram to go over, especially if McCoy plays as he's been his favorite target.
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